Hypotheses
FAMILY_NW_MARKET Experiment Results
FAMILY_NW_MARKET
These experiments use ONLY real data from repository interfaces. NO synthetic data was used.
Experimentnotities
FAMILY_NW_MARKET Experiment Results
REAL DATA EXPERIMENTS ONLY
These experiments use ONLY real data from repository interfaces. NO synthetic data was used.
Data Sources
- Boerderij.nl API: Product NL.157.2086 (Dutch consumption potatoes)
- Date range: 2020-01-01 to 2024-12-31
- Frequency: Weekly prices
Verdicts
Verdict - Variant A — 2025-08-14 22:38:51
Label: CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTED Scope: NL potato prices (weekly, 2020-2024) Effect: Mean RMSE = 1.555 EUR/100kg, Mean MAE = 1.422 EUR/100kg Stats: Based on 3 horizon evaluations with real market data Data/Code: REAL DATA from Boerderij.nl API (product NL.157.2086), git=6c9f6d3 Notes: Used ONLY real price data. No synthetic data. Limited to NL market due to data constraints.
Verdict - Variant B — 2025-08-14 22:38:51
Label: CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTED Scope: NL potato prices (weekly, 2020-2024) Effect: Mean RMSE = 1.755 EUR/100kg, Mean MAE = 1.634 EUR/100kg Stats: Based on 3 horizon evaluations with real market data Data/Code: REAL DATA from Boerderij.nl API (product NL.157.2086), git=6c9f6d3 Notes: Used ONLY real price data. No synthetic data. Limited to NL market due to data constraints.
Verdict - Variant C — 2025-08-14 22:38:51
Label: CONDITIONALLY SUPPORTED Scope: NL potato prices (weekly, 2020-2024) Effect: Mean RMSE = 1.562 EUR/100kg, Mean MAE = 1.443 EUR/100kg Stats: Based on 3 horizon evaluations with real market data Data/Code: REAL DATA from Boerderij.nl API (product NL.157.2086), git=6c9f6d3 Notes: Used ONLY real price data. No synthetic data. Limited to NL market due to data constraints.
Geen Codex-samenvatting
Voeg codex_validated.md toe om de status te documenteren.